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MBA,MCS,M.phil
Devry University
Jan-2008 - Jan-2011
MBA,MCS,M.Phil
Devry University
Feb-2000 - Jan-2004
Regional Manager
Abercrombie & Fitch.
Mar-2005 - Nov-2010
Regional Manager
Abercrombie & Fitch.
Jan-2005 - Jan-2008
Sora Industries has 60 million outstanding shares, $120 million in debt, $40 million in cash, and the following projected free cash flow for the next four years ( see MyFinanceLab for the data in Excel format ):
Â
|
1 |
Year |
0 |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
|
2 |
Earnings and FCF Forecast ($ million) |
 |  |  |  |  |
|
3 |
Sales |
433.0 |
468.0 |
516.0 |
547.0 |
574.3 |
|
4 |
Growth versus Prior Year |
 |
8.1% |
10.3% |
6.0% |
5.0% |
|
5 |
Cost of Goods Sold |
 |
313.6 |
345.7 |
366.5 |
384.8 |
|
6 |
Gross Profit |
 |
154.4 |
170.3 |
180.5 |
189.5 |
|
7 |
Selling, General, and Administrative |
 |
93.6 |
103.2 |
109.4 |
114.9 |
|
8 |
Depreciation |
 |
7.0 |
7.5 |
9.0 |
9.5 |
|
9 |
EBIT |
 |
53.8 |
59.6 |
62.1 |
65.2 |
|
10 |
Less: Income Tax at 40% |
 |
21.5 |
23.8 |
24.8 |
26.1 |
|
11 |
Plus: Depreciation |
 |
7.0 |
7.5 |
9.0 |
9.5 |
|
12 |
Less: Capital Expenditures |
 |
7.7 |
10.0 |
9.9 |
10.4 |
|
13 |
Less: Increase in NWC |
 |
6.3 |
8.6 |
5.6 |
4.9 |
|
14 |
Free Cash Flow |
 |
25.3 |
24.6 |
30.8 |
33.3 |
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a. Suppose Sora’s revenues and free cash flow are expected to grow at a 5% rate beyond year 4. If Sora’s weighted average cost of capital is 10%, what is the value of Sora’s stock based on this information?
b. Sora’s cost of goods sold was assumed to be 67% of sales. If its cost of goods sold is actually 70% of sales, how would the estimate of the stock’s value change?
c. Return to the assumptions of part (a) and suppose Sora can maintain its cost of goods sold at 67% of sales. However, the firm reduces its selling, general, and administrative expenses from 20% of sales to 16% of sales. What stock price would you estimate now? (Assume no other expenses, except taxes, are affected.)
*d. Sora’s net working capital needs were estimated to be 18% of sales (their current level in year 0). If Sora can reduce this requirement to 12% of sales starting in year 1, but all other assumptions remain as in part (a), what stock price do you estimate for Sora? ( Hint : This change will have the largest effect on Sora’s free cash flow in year 1.
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