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MBA,MCS,M.phil
Devry University
Jan-2008 - Jan-2011
MBA,MCS,M.Phil
Devry University
Feb-2000 - Jan-2004
Regional Manager
Abercrombie & Fitch.
Mar-2005 - Nov-2010
Regional Manager
Abercrombie & Fitch.
Jan-2005 - Jan-2008
Probabilities for a Common Stock Portfolio (1).
You manage a U.S. core equity portfolio that is sector-neutral to the S&P 500 Index (its industry sector weights approximately match the S&P 500"s). Taking a weighted average of the projected mean returns on the holdings, you forecast a portfolio return of 12 percent. You estimate a standard deviation of annual return of 22 percent, close to the long-run figure for the S&P 500. For the year-ahead return on the portfolio, you are asked to do the following:
1. Calculate and interpret a one standard deviation confidence interval for portfolio return, with a normality assumption for returns.
2. Calculate and interpret a 90 percent confidence interval for portfolio return, with a normality assumption for returns.
3. Calculate and interpret a 95 percent confidence interval for portfolio return, with a normality assumption for returns
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