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MBA,PHD, Juris Doctor
Strayer,Devery,Harvard University
Mar-1995 - Mar-2002
Manager Planning
WalMart
Mar-2001 - Feb-2009
Sally’s Silk Screening produces special T-shirts that are primarily sold on the Halloween day. She must decide how many to produce for the coming Halloween. During the event itself, which lasts one day, Sally can sell a T-shirt for $20 a-piece. However, when the event ends, any unsold T-shirts are sold for $4 a-piece. It costs Sally $8 to make a specialty T-shirt. Using Sally’s estimated distribution of demand, how many T-shirts should she produce for the coming event?
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DEMAND                    Probability       COMPUTE COMULATIVE PROBABILITY
                       300                  .05
400Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â .10
500Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â .40
600Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â .30
700Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â .10
800Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â .05Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â
Hint: What is the optimal service level? What is the cumulative probability distribution?                         Â
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Demand (Dozens)Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Probability
4 or less                                0
0.10
0.15
0.25
0.20
0.15
0.10
0.05
0
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Determine the optimal order quantity for Nocee regarding this item.
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