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MCS,PHD
Argosy University/ Phoniex University/
Nov-2005 - Oct-2011
Professor
Phoniex University
Oct-2001 - Nov-2016
The management of Brinkley Corporation is interested in using simulation to estimate the profit per unit for a new product. The selling price for the product will be $45 per unit.
Procurement Probability   Labor Probability   Transportation Probability
    10               0.25               20       0.10                    3                0.75
     11               0.45               22       0.25                    5                 0.25
    12               0.30                24        0.35
                                              25         0.30
a. Compute profit per unit for the base-case, worst-case, and best-case scenarios.
b. Construct a simulation model to estimate the mean profit per unit.
c. Why is the simulation approach to risk analysis preferable to generating a variety of what-if scenarios?
d. Management believes the project may not be sustainable if the profit per unit is less than $5. Use simulation to estimate the probability the profit per unit will be less than $5.
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