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MCS,PHD
Argosy University/ Phoniex University/
Nov-2005 - Oct-2011
Professor
Phoniex University
Oct-2001 - Nov-2016
For Problems 1 through 3, use the following time series data:
1.(**) Develop a three-period moving average forecast for April 2006 through January 2007. Calculate the MFE and MAD values for April through December 2006.
2. (**) Develop a two-period weighted moving average forecast for March 2006 through January 2007. Use weights of 0.6 and 0.4, with the most recent observation weighted higher. Calculate the MFE and MAD values for March through December.
3. (**) Develop an exponential smoothing forecast (a=0.3) for February 2006 through January 2007. Assume your forecast for January 2006 was 100. Calculate the MFE and MAD values for February through December 2006. For Problems 7 through 9, use the following time series data:
|
MONTH |
DEMAND |
MONTH |
DEMAND |
|
January 2006 |
119 |
July |
111 |
|
February |
72 |
August |
116 |
|
March |
113 |
September |
89 |
|
April |
82 |
October |
95 |
|
May |
82 |
November |
88 |
|
June |
131 |
December |
90 |
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