Maurice Tutor

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    Argosy University/ Phoniex University/
    Nov-2005 - Oct-2011

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    Phoniex University
    Oct-2001 - Nov-2016

Category > Management Posted 05 Jan 2018 My Price 7.00

set of criteria

You have developed a set of criteria for evaluating distressed credits. Companies that do not receive a passing score are classed as likely to go bankrupt within 12 months.

You gathered the following information when validating the criteria:

  • Forty percent of the companies to which the test is administered will go bankrupt within 12 months: P(nonsurvivor) = 0.40.
  • Fifty-five percent of the companies to which the test is administered pass it:

P(pass test) = 0.55.

  • The probability that a company will pass the test given that it will subsequently survive 12 months, is 0.85: Pass test | survivor) = 0.85.

A. What is P(pass test | nonsurvivor)?

B. Using Hayes" formula, calculate the probability that a company is a survivor, given that it passes the test; that is, calculate P(survivor | pass test).

C What is the probability that a company is a nonsurvivor, given that it fails the test?

D. Is the test effective?

Answers

Maurice Tutor
(5)
Status NEW Posted 05 Jan 2018 01:01 PM My Price 7.00

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