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MCS,PHD
Argosy University/ Phoniex University/
Nov-2005 - Oct-2011
Professor
Phoniex University
Oct-2001 - Nov-2016
ABC Cracker Company manufactures cheddar cheese fish crackers. They are shipped in full truckloads to the retailer customers’ DCs. Below is the number of truckloads ABC shipped per month during 2015:
| 2015 | TL shipped (demand) | Â |
| October | 168 | Â |
| November | 191 | Â |
| December | 184 | Â |
| Â | Â | Â |
| 2016 | Â | 2017 TL shipped (demand) |
| January | 179 | 197 |
| February | 162 | 179 |
| March | 170 | 187 |
| April | 196 | 216 |
| May | 180 | 198 |
| June | 136 | 150 |
| July | 185 | 204 |
| August | 190 | 209 |
| September | 179 | 197 |
| October | 187 | 206 |
| November | 213 | 234 |
| December | 204 | 224 |
1. generate all three types of forecasts using the data on the left marked 2015 and 2016. Then on a separate page for each type of forecast, generate the error terms using the demand marked 2017 on the right and the forecast determined from the 2015 and 2016 data.
2. Using a simple 3-period moving average, generate a monthly forecast for 2017
3. Using a simple weighted average, generate a monthly forecast for 2017. Use a three period average, with the weight being: alpha =0.6; alpha–1 =0.25; alpha-2= 0.15.
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