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Elementary,Middle School,High School,College,University,PHD
| Teaching Since: | May 2017 |
| Last Sign in: | 398 Weeks Ago, 6 Days Ago |
| Questions Answered: | 66690 |
| Tutorials Posted: | 66688 |
MCS,PHD
Argosy University/ Phoniex University/
Nov-2005 - Oct-2011
Professor
Phoniex University
Oct-2001 - Nov-2016
Oilco must determine whether or not to drill for oil in the South China Sea. If the decision is “not drilling”, the option can be sold for $10 million. If “drilling” is chosen, the well can occur to be dry with probability of 0.5 which would result in a loss of $70 million. The well may be wet with probability of 0.3 and a resultant payoff of $50 million, or may gush out with probability of 0.2 and a resultant payoff of $200 million. Assuming that Oilco is a risk-neutral decision maker, answer the following questions.
a) Determine Oilco’s optimal course of action.
b)Determine EVPI.
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