Maurice Tutor

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About Maurice Tutor

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Algebra,Applied Sciences See all
Algebra,Applied Sciences,Biology,Calculus,Chemistry,Economics,English,Essay writing,Geography,Geology,Health & Medical,Physics,Science Hide all
Teaching Since: May 2017
Last Sign in: 398 Weeks Ago, 5 Days Ago
Questions Answered: 66690
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Education

  • MCS,PHD
    Argosy University/ Phoniex University/
    Nov-2005 - Oct-2011

Experience

  • Professor
    Phoniex University
    Oct-2001 - Nov-2016

Category > Computer Science Posted 07 May 2018 My Price 7.00

Bulloch County

Bulloch County has never allowed liquor to be sold in restaurants. However, in three months, county residents are scheduled to vote on a referendum to allow liquor to be sold by the drink. Currently, polls indicate there is a 60% chance that the referendum will be passed by voters. Phil Jackson is a local real estate speculator who is eyeing a closed restaurant building that is scheduled to be sold at a sealed bid auction. Phil estimates that if he bids $1.25 million, there is a 25% chance he will obtain the property; if he bids $1.45 million, there is a 45% chance he will obtain the property; and if he bids $1.85 million, there is an 85% chance he will obtain the property. If he acquires the property and the referendum passes, Phil believes he could then sell the restaurant for $2.2 million. However, if the referendum fails, he believes he could sell the property for only $1.15 million.

 

a. Develop a decision tree for this problem.

b. What is the optimal decision according to the EMV criterion?

c. Create a sensitivity table showing how the optimal decision might change if the probability of the referendum passing varies from 0% to 100% in steps of 10%.

d. To which financial estimate in the decision tree is the EMV most sensitive?

 

Answers

Maurice Tutor
(5)
Status NEW Posted 07 May 2018 05:05 PM My Price 7.00

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