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MCS,PHD
Argosy University/ Phoniex University/
Nov-2005 - Oct-2011
Professor
Phoniex University
Oct-2001 - Nov-2016
In August 2004, a car dealer is trying to determine how many 2005 cars should be ordered. Each car ordered in August 2004 costs $10,000. The demand for the dealer’s 2005 models has the probability distribution shown in Table.
|
No. of Cars |
 |
|
Demanded |
Probability |
|
20 |
.30 |
|
25 |
.15 |
|
30 |
.15 |
|
35 |
.20 |
|
40 |
.20 |
Each car sells for $15,000. If demand for 2005 cars exceeds the number of cars ordered in August, the dealer must reorder at a cost of $12,000 per car. Excess cars may be disposed of at $9,000 per car. Use simulation to determine how many cars should be ordered in August. For your optimal order quantity, find a 95% confidence interval for expected profit.
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