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bachelor in business administration
Polytechnic State University Sanluis
Jan-2006 - Nov-2010
CPA
Polytechnic State University
Jan-2012 - Nov-2016
Professor
Harvard Square Academy (HS2)
Mar-2012 - Present
Unfortunately, the Capital Investment Committee refused to approve your recommendation (Problem 1) since you did not consider the uncertainty inherent in these types of investments. You pull out your very dog-eared text from PMAN 635 and repeat your analysis, this time using Crystal Ball and the following information: a. Investment A: i. Year 0 Investment cost: Triangular distribution (optimistic: $125,000; most likely: $150,000; pessimistic: $175,000) ii. Year 1-5 operating cost: Normal distribution (mean of $10,000, standard deviation of $2,000) iii. Year 1 Benefits: Normal distribution (mean of $90,000, standard deviation of $20,000) iv. Year 2 Benefits: Normal distribution (mean of $55,000, standard deviation of $15,000) v. Year 3 Benefits: Normal distribution (mean of $35,000, standard deviation of $10,000) vi. Year 4 Benefits: Normal distribution (mean of $20,000, standard deviation of $5000) vii. Year 5 Benefits: Normal distribution (mean of $20,000, standard deviation of $5000) b. Investment B: i. Year 0 Investment cost: Triangular distribution (optimistic: $75,000; most likely: $80,000; pessimistic: $95,000) ii. Year 1 Benefits: Normal distribution (mean of $45,000, standard deviation of $20,000) iii. Year 2 Benefits: Normal distribution (mean of $15,000, standard deviation of $5,000) iv. Year 3 Benefits: Normal distribution (mean of $10,000, standard deviation of $3,000) v. Year 4 Benefits: Normal distribution (mean of $10,000, standard deviation of $3,000) vi. Year 5 Benefits: Normal distribution (mean of $15,000, standard deviation of $5,000) c. If the Internal Rate of Return (IRR) is still 6%, what is the NPV for each investment?
Inv-----------est-----------men-----------t A----------- Ou-----------t f-----------low----------- $2-----------,00-----------,00-----------0 O-----------pti-----------mis-----------tic----------- $1-----------,00-----------,00-----------0 M-----------ost----------- Li-----------kel-----------y $-----------1,2-----------5,0-----------00 -----------Pes-----------sim-----------ist-----------ic -----------$2,-----------00,-----------000----------- Ye-----------ar -----------1-5----------- PV-----------F@6-----------% C-----------ost----------- Op-----------era-----------tin-----------g C-----------ost----------- $1-----------0,0-----------00 -----------4.2-----------12 -----------$42-----------,12-----------0